Notes - 7 Powers

October 26, 2024

Part I — Strategy Statics

Chapter 1: Scale Economies

Size Matters

This chapter begins by looking at Netflix in 2003 when the company was successfully challenging Blockbuster with its DVD-by-mail rental business. However, the company lacked a strategy that could lead to Power.

Netflix found its path to Power in 2011 when they decided to pursue exclusive streaming rights. This started with House of Cards in 2012. This allowed them to amortize the cost of content over a much larger subscriber base than their competitors, leading to lower content costs per subscriber.

Scale Economies—the First of the 7 Powers

This section explains the first of the 7 Powers: Scale Economies. It asks: why do Scale Economies result in Power? To answer this, the author reminds us that Power requires two components:

Scale Economies’ benefit is straightforward: lowered costs. For Netflix, their large subscriber base leads to lower content costs per subscriber.

The barrier comes from the unattractive cost/benefit analysis that competitors face when considering challenging the scale leader. For example, to gain market share, a competitor would have to lower prices. However, because of their lower costs, the leader can match these price cuts, leading to a loss for the competitor.

This dynamic played out between Intel and AMD. Intel used its scale advantage to repeatedly fight off challenges from AMD.

The 7 Powers Chart

To help understand Scale Economies, the author introduces the 7 Powers Chart. The chart is designed to categorize and analyze the different types of Power. It begins by breaking down the Benefit and Barrier concepts:

Benefit:

Barrier:

Using this framework, the author places Scale Economies in the chart.

Scale Economies:

Defining Scale Economies

The author provides a definition for Scale Economies: “A business in which per-unit cost declines as production volume increases.” This means that as a company produces more of a product, the cost of producing each individual unit goes down.

The Netflix example shows one way that Scale Economies can occur: there was a large, fixed cost associated with creating original content. As the number of subscribers increased, this fixed cost was spread out over a larger base, leading to a lower cost per subscriber.

Other ways that scale economies emerge:

Value and Power

The goal of a strategy is to increase the value of a business. The author notes that Netflix’s stock price increased dramatically after they were able to create Power in their streaming business. This increase in value shows the impact of Power. However, Power alone is not enough. A company also needs operational excellence to succeed. Netflix’s stock price dropped in 2011 due to operational mistakes. This shows that even with a strong strategy, companies can fail if they don't execute well.

Parsing Power Intensity: Industry Economics + Competitive Position

This section explains how to measure the intensity of Power. The intensity of Power depends on two factors:

The author uses the concept of Surplus Leader Margin (SLM) to measure Power intensity. SLM represents the profit margin the company with Power can achieve when pricing is set so that its competitor’s profits are zero.

For Scale Economies arising from fixed costs, SLM is determined by:

Both factors must be present for Power to exist. Even if there are strong potential scale economies, the leader will have no Power if there is no scale advantage.

The author uses Netflix to show how companies can use a two-pronged attack to increase their Power:

  1. Change the economics of the industry
  2. Increase the scale advantage

Netflix’s move to exclusive content changed the economics of the industry and gave them a scale advantage.

This section concludes by noting the importance of independently understanding both Industry Economics and Competitive Position when developing a strategy.

Chapter 2: Network Economies

This chapter introduces the concept of Network Economies, the second Power type in the 7 Powers framework. It uses the example of BranchOut, a Facebook app designed to facilitate professional networking, to illustrate how Network Economies work.

This example highlights a key aspect of Network Economies: the value of a network increases as its user base grows. The larger the network, the more valuable it becomes for each individual user.

Benefit and Barrier of Network Economies:

Like all Power types, Network Economies possess both a Benefit and a Barrier, which together create the potential for persistent differential returns.

Surplus Leader Margin (SLM) for Network Economies:

To formally calibrate the intensity of Power in a network economy, the concept of Surplus Leader Margin (SLM) is introduced. This measures the profit margin the business with Power can achieve while pricing its product so that its competitor makes zero profit.

SLM = δ [S N – W N ]

Where:

  • δ represents the marginal benefit to all users from one new user joining the network.
  • S N represents the number of users in the stronger network.
  • W N represents the number of users in the weaker network.

Components of Power Intensity in Network Economies:

Breaking down the SLM formula reveals two components that determine the intensity of Power in a network economy:

For Power to exist, both industry economics and competitive position must be significantly positive. A strong network effect alone is not enough if the incumbent's network size is not significantly larger than its competitors'.

Important Observations on Network Economies:

The chapter concludes with several observations regarding Network Economies:

By understanding Network Economies, businesses can identify opportunities to create Power by leveraging the inherent value of network effects and strategically positioning themselves to capitalize on these dynamics.

Chapter 3: Counter-Positioning

Counter-Positioning is a strategy in which a newcomer utilizes a superior business model that the incumbent is unable or unwilling to mimic due to the potential damage it would inflict on their existing business. This chapter uses the example of Vanguard and its founder, John Bogle, to illustrate this concept.

Bogle and the Rise of Vanguard

In 1974, John Bogle founded Vanguard, a mutual fund company, and in 1976, he launched the First Index Investment Trust, later renamed the Vanguard 500 Index Fund. This fund was the first index mutual fund available to the public and was considered "Bogle's Folly" by many on Wall Street. The prevailing wisdom at the time held that actively managed funds were superior, and that an index fund would provide mediocre returns at best.

However, Bogle's innovation was rooted in a deep understanding of the economics of the mutual fund industry. He recognized that high fees charged by actively managed funds eroded returns, making index funds, with their low fees, a superior choice for investors.

The success of Vanguard and its index funds was slow but steady. By 2015, Vanguard managed over $3 trillion in assets, with much of this growth coming at the expense of actively managed funds.

Counter-Positioning and the 7 Powers

Counter-Positioning is positioned in the 7 Powers Chart as follows:

Types of Collateral Damage

There are three types of collateral damage that can prevent an incumbent from mimicking a newcomer's superior business model:

  1. Milk: The newcomer's business model slowly siphons off profits from the incumbent's existing business. The incumbent is reluctant to respond aggressively as this would accelerate the decline of their core business. The Vanguard example illustrates this type of collateral damage.
  2. History's Slave: The incumbent is locked into a business model or approach due to their history and past investments, making it difficult for them to adopt the newcomer's model. This is similar to the sunk cost fallacy, where individuals or organizations continue to invest in a failing venture because they have already invested significant resources.
  3. Job Security: The incumbent's management team may resist adopting the newcomer's business model as it threatens their jobs or status.

Counter-Positioning and Disruptive Innovation

This chapter notes the distinction between Counter-Positioning and Disruptive Innovation, a concept popularized by Clayton Christensen. While both involve a newcomer challenging an incumbent with a new business model, Counter-Positioning focuses on situations where the incumbent is aware of the threat but chooses not to respond due to the potential for collateral damage. In contrast, Disruptive Innovation often involves incumbents being blindsided by newcomers who target a different market segment with a simpler or less expensive product.

Key Observations on Counter-Positioning

Counter-Positioning Surplus Leader Margin

The Surplus Leader Margin (SLM) in a Counter-Positioning scenario is the margin the challenger can earn while pricing its product below the incumbent's offering. This margin represents the potential profit the challenger can capture without prompting a direct response from the incumbent. The SLM is influenced by several factors, including the cost difference between the challenger's and incumbent's business models, the degree of product substitutability, and the expected cannibalization rate.

The chapter concludes by highlighting the dynamic nature of Counter-Positioning. As the challenger gains market share, the incumbent's potential collateral damage decreases, making it more likely that they will eventually respond. The challenger must be prepared to defend its position against the incumbent's eventual counter-attack.

Chapter 4: Switching Costs

This chapter of explains and exemplifies Switching Costs, the fourth of the seven types of powers explored in the book.

The chapter opens with an anecdote about the high cost of replacing enterprise resource planning (ERP) software, arguing that the phenomenon illustrates the power of Switching Costs. While many software companies offer ERP solutions, including Oracle and Salesforce, the German software corporation SAP has dominated the market for decades.

Once an ERP system like SAP is integrated into a client’s business, it is very difficult and expensive to switch to a different system. This is because employees have invested time and effort into learning to use SAP, and companies have tailored their workflows and processes to fit the software. Switching to a competitor’s ERP would require companies to retrain employees, redesign workflows, and potentially purchase new hardware and software, making it prohibitively expensive and time-consuming. This allows SAP to charge high prices and maintain a dominant market position. As a testament to this power, SAP’s stock price has increased by over 1000% since 1995.

Switching Costs arise when a customer values compatibility across multiple purchases from a specific firm over time. This can include repeat purchases of the same product or purchases of complementary goods. Companies that have embedded Switching Costs for their current customers can charge higher prices than competitors for equivalent products or services. Importantly, this benefit only accrues to the Power holder in selling follow-on products to their current customers. There is no Benefit with potential customers, and there is no Benefit if there are no follow-on products.

The Barrier in Switching Costs is the cost incurred by customers in switching to an alternate supplier for additional purchases. To maintain these costs, companies must ensure that switching remains unattractive. This can be achieved by increasing the magnitude of the Switching Costs, making them difficult to circumvent, or creating the expectation that the costs will be ongoing.

The chapter defines Switching Costs as follows:

The chapter goes on to list three broad groups of Switching Costs:

Companies can take a variety of steps to build Switching Costs. The chapter explains that one tactic might be to develop more and more add-on products, extending the revenue coverage of the Switching Costs (Financial), and often increasing their intensity by making the prospect of disentanglement more and more forbidding (Procedural). A high level of integration into customer operations, and the extensive training that demands, can also further disincentivize such disentanglement. This sort of training also has the potential of building emotional bonds to the current supplier (Relational). The chapter points to SAP as an example of a company that has successfully implemented this strategy, noting that the company offers a vast array of products and has a history of acquiring other companies to add to its portfolio.

Chapter 5: Branding

This chapter explores the concept of Branding as a Power type, using Tiffany & Co. as an example.

Benefit

Barrier

Challenges and Characteristics of Branding

Branding: Industry Economics and Competitive Position

The sources offer a simplified model to represent this relationship, where B(t) represents brand value over time (t). The higher the B(t), the stronger the brand and the greater the potential price premium the company can charge.

Conclusion

Chapter 5 emphasizes the importance of Branding as a powerful driver of value. By understanding the key elements of Branding—Benefit, Barrier, and the factors influencing its intensity—companies can build strong brands that enable them to command premium prices, withstand competitive pressures, and achieve sustainable success.

Chapter 6: Cornered Resource - Preferential Access For Value Creation

Chapter 6 introduces the concept of Cornered Resource as a type of Power, defined as preferential access at attractive terms to a coveted asset that can independently enhance value. The chapter uses Pixar Animation Studios as a case study to illustrate this concept.

In conclusion, Chapter 6 emphasizes that a Cornered Resource, providing preferential access to a valuable and protected asset, can be a significant driver of Power and value creation.

Chapter 7: Process Power

Chapter 7 focuses on Process Power, the last of the 7 Powers described in the book.

This chapter uses Toyota Motor Corporation and its Toyota Production System (TPS) to illustrate the concept of Process Power. Toyota was able to achieve significant market share growth over decades by leveraging its superior manufacturing process, TPS.

How Toyota Developed Process Power

Why Process Power is Difficult to Replicate

The Barrier in Process Power arises from hysteresis, or the difficulty of achieving process advances in a short time frame. Two factors contribute to hysteresis:

The challenge of replicating Process Power is highlighted by GM's attempt to learn and implement TPS. Despite a joint venture with Toyota and training opportunities for their employees, GM was unable to fully grasp and replicate TPS. This example demonstrates that Process Power cannot be achieved quickly, even with a dedicated effort.

Process Power, Operational Excellence, and the Discipline of Strategy

The chapter also discusses the relationship between Process Power and operational excellence.

The chapter highlights the distinction between operational excellence and strategy:

The chapter contrasts the concept of Process Power with the Experience Curve, which suggests that per-unit cost declines with cumulative production volume. While the Experience Curve acknowledges the benefits of learning and process improvement, it does not address the potential for Power because it assumes all firms can achieve similar gains over time. In reality, the substantial cost differences observed between firms highlight that the gains from experience are not equally shared, and firms like Toyota can achieve Process Power.

The chapter briefly discusses routines as described by economists Richard Nelson and Sidney Winter. Routines, while important for operational efficiency, typically do not lead to Power because they lack a significant barrier to replication.

Intensity of Process Power

The intensity of Process Power is determined by:

Power Progression and Process Power

The chapter introduces the Power Progression, which maps the timing of Power establishment for each Power type. Process Power, along with Branding, typically emerges during the Stability stage, when business growth slows down but remains substantial. The time-delineated 7 Powers Chart highlights this timing.

Key Takeaways from Chapter 7

This chapter concludes Part I of the book, which focuses on Strategy Statics. Part II of the book focuses on Strategy Dynamics and the process of establishing Power.

Part II — Strategy Dynamics

Chapter 8: The Path to Power

Chapter 8 shifts the discussion from Strategy Statics (what makes a business valuable) to Strategy Dynamics, focusing specifically on how businesses develop Power. While operational excellence is important, it doesn't guarantee differential margins or growing market share because competitors can copy operational improvements.

Invention is Necessary, but Not Sufficient, for Power

Netflix's streaming business illustrates that invention is necessary but not sufficient to achieve continuing Power. Netflix solved a variety of operational problems:

Even after solving these operational problems, Netflix lacked Power because its content costs were variable, and its innovations were easily imitable. Only by inventing a new business model, exclusive and original content, could Netflix leverage its scale advantage and create Power. However, even after introducing originals, Netflix found that competitors could still bid up the price of exclusive content. The ultimate key to Netflix's success in streaming was the invention of their own original programming.

Netflix's streaming success highlights a key insight: creating Power requires invention, but the invention must be paired with a strategic path to Power.

Examining each of the 7 Powers through the lens of Strategy Dynamics reinforces this lesson. All seven require invention:

Ultimately, 'me too' strategies are not enough to achieve Power; companies must make strategic inventions.

Invention's One-Two Punch: Power and Market Size

Invention not only opens the door for Power, but it also drives market size, enhancing business value in two ways. In Netflix's case, the invention of streaming both enabled Power and created the streaming market.

Compelling Value Drives Market Size

Products that achieve rapid adoption, or "compelling value," are essential for driving market size. These products must offer dramatic improvements over existing options, evoking a "gotta have" response from customers.

There are three primary paths to creating compelling value, each with its own tactical approach:

The takeaway from Chapter 8 is that achieving Power requires more than operational excellence; it requires strategic invention informed by the 7 Powers framework. By understanding the dynamics of Power creation, businesses can navigate periods of high uncertainty and position themselves for sustainable success.

Chapter 9: The Power Progression

Chapter 9 focuses on the Dynamics of strategy and aims to answer the second key question about achieving Power in business: "When can you reach a position of Power?" The chapter uses the case study of Intel's microprocessor business to illustrate this concept.

Intel's Journey to Power

Intel's microprocessor business started with the invention of the microprocessor itself. This invention opened up the possibility for Intel to establish Power in the market. However, the takeoff period, characterized by explosive growth in the personal computer market, played a crucial role in cementing Intel's dominance.

Several factors contributed to Intel's Power during this takeoff period:

The takeoff period was crucial because the rapid growth and high degree of flux during this stage allowed Intel to establish these Power types at a time when competitive arbitrage was less effective.

The Power Progression Framework

The chapter introduces the Power Progression framework, which maps the timing of Power establishment for each of the seven Power types.

The Power Progression breaks down the business lifecycle into three stages based on growth rates:

  1. Origination: This stage occurs before a company's product achieves compelling value, and sales growth is limited.
  2. Takeoff: This stage is characterized by explosive sales growth.
  3. Stability: Growth slows down from the explosive levels of the takeoff stage, typically settling at around 30-40% per year.

It's important to note that these stages differ from the traditional product life cycle stages (introduction, growth, maturity, decline) because they are defined by business growth rather than industry growth, and the breakpoints are different. The Power Progression is specifically focused on the timing of Power acquisition, while the product life cycle model does not serve this purpose.

The Power Progression then maps each of the seven Power types to the stage in which they must be established:

Origination Stage:

Takeoff Stage:

Stability Stage:

Barriers and Timing

The Power Progression highlights that each of the four generic barriers to arbitrage is specific to a particular stage:

The Importance of Dynamics

The chapter concludes by emphasizing that understanding the dynamics of strategy is crucial for creating value. The Power Progression framework provides a practical tool for identifying the right time to establish different types of Power, enabling businesses to navigate the complexities of the market and position themselves for long-term success.